Championship

Watford vs Stoke City prediction

Played Sat 12 Sept, 15:00

Final score

1-2

Model called a home win — wrong

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Watford

36.8%

Draw

28.6%

Stoke City

34.6%

Projected Expected Goals1.20 vs 1.15

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 42% · Under 58%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 48% · No 52%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (4d each)

Recent Match Load5 vs 5 matches (last 3 wks)

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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