Championship

Watford vs Burnley prediction

Played Sat 10 Oct, 15:00

Final score

0-4

Model called an away win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Watford

31.0%

Draw

27.2%

Burnley

41.7%

Projected Expected Goals0.96 vs 1.51

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 45% · Under 55%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 49% · No 51%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (14d each)

Recent Match Load0 vs 1 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Zian Flemming(FWD)

xG 0.1130%

Zeki Amdouni(FWD)

xG 0.2223%

Dastan Satpaev(FWD)

xG 0.1021%

Jacob Bruun Larsen(MID)

xG 0.1216%

Aaron Ramsey(MID)

xG 0.1215%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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