UEFA Champions League

Villarreal CF vs SSC Napoli prediction

Played Tue 13 Oct, 20:00

Final score

3-1

Model called a home win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Villarreal CF

42.7%

Draw

26.2%

SSC Napoli

31.1%

Projected Expected Goals1.18 vs 1.55

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 52% · Under 48%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 56% · No 44%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (3d each)

Recent Match Load1 vs 1 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Rasmus Højlund(FWD)

xG 0.2225%

Noa Lang(FWD)

xG 0.1519%

Alisson Santos(FWD)

xG 0.1018%

Georges Mikautadze(FWD)

xG 0.1717%

Kevin De Bruyne(MID)

xG 0.1416%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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