Serie A

US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909 prediction

Played Sun 11 Oct, 14:00

Final score

1-2

Model called an away win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

US Lecce

21.1%

Draw

26.5%

Bologna FC 1909

52.4%

Projected Expected Goals0.85 vs 1.50

Projected Scoreline0 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 42% · Under 58%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 45% · No 55%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (14d each)

Recent Match Load1 vs 0 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Federico Bernardeschi(FWD)

xG 0.2626%

Roberto Piccoli(FWD)

xG 0.2223%

Nicolò Cambiaghi(FWD)

xG 0.1819%

Lassana Coulibaly(MID)

xG 0.1415%

Willem Geubbels(FWD)

xG 0.0510%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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