Serie A

US Lecce vs AC Monza prediction

Played Sun 13 Sept, 14:00

Final score

3-2

Model called a home win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

US Lecce

37.0%

Draw

28.3%

AC Monza

34.7%

Projected Expected Goals1.29 vs 1.24

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 47% · Under 53%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 52% · No 48%

Rest & Preparation6d vs 7d (+1d AC Monza)

Recent Match Load3 vs 2 matches (last 3 wks)

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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