Bundesliga

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV prediction

Played Sat 10 Oct, 14:30

Final score

2-3

Model called a home win — wrong

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

65.8%

Draw

19.1%

Hamburger SV

15.0%

Projected Expected Goals2.09 vs 1.10

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 62% · Under 38%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 59% · No 41%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (14d each)

Recent Match Load1 vs 1 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Adam Hlozek(FWD)

xG 0.3535%

Tim Lemperle(FWD)

xG 0.2530%

Adam Daghim(MID)

xG 0.2525%

Max Moerstedt(FWD)

xG 0.1418%

Leon Avdullahu(MID)

xG 0.1617%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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