Premier League

Spurs vs Aston Villa prediction

Played Sat 19 Sept, 12:30

Final score

2-3

Model called an away win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Spurs

37.0%

Draw

25.4%

Aston Villa

37.6%

Projected Expected Goals1.50 vs 1.51

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 58% · Under 42%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 61% · No 39%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (7d each)

Recent Match Load3 vs 4 matches (last 3 wks)

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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