Championship

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough prediction

Played Tue 13 Oct, 20:00

Final score

2-3

Model called an away win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Stoke City

26.8%

Draw

25.4%

Middlesbrough

47.8%

Projected Expected Goals1.18 vs 1.47

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 49% · Under 51%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 54% · No 46%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (3d each)

Recent Match Load1 vs 1 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Will Lankshear(FWD)

xG 0.3633%

Justin Devenny(FWD)

xG 0.1016%

Amario Cozier-Duberry(MID)

xG 0.0816%

Jack McGlynn(FWD)

xG 0.0914%

Sam Gallagher(FWD)

xG 0.0913%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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