Serie A

SS Lazio vs AC Monza prediction

Played Sun 11 Oct, 14:00

Final score

3-1

Model called a home win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

SS Lazio

62.6%

Draw

22.3%

AC Monza

15.1%

Projected Expected Goals1.86 vs 0.79

Projected Scoreline1 - 0

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 49% · Under 51%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 46% · No 54%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (14d each)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Mattia Zaccagni(FWD)

xG 0.3331%

Matteo Cancellieri(FWD)

xG 0.2122%

Tijjani Noslin(FWD)

xG 0.1721%

Davide Frattesi(MID)

xG 0.1920%

Gustavo Varela(FWD)

xG 0.1216%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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