Serie A

SS Lazio vs AC Milan prediction

Played Sat 12 Sept, 17:00

Final score

2-2

Model called a home win — wrong

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

SS Lazio

37.2%

Draw

27.0%

AC Milan

35.8%

Projected Expected Goals1.38 vs 1.35

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 51% · Under 49%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 56% · No 44%

Rest & Preparation5d vs 6d (+1d AC Milan)

Recent Match Load3 vs 3 matches (last 3 wks)

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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