Championship

Southampton vs Portsmouth prediction

Played Sun 11 Oct, 12:00

Final score

1-0

Model called a home win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Southampton

59.6%

Draw

22.4%

Portsmouth

17.9%

Projected Expected Goals2.18 vs 0.91

Projected Scoreline2 - 0

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 60% · Under 40%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 53% · No 47%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (14d each)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Cameron Archer(FWD)

xG 0.2141%

Cyle Larin(FWD)

xG 0.4140%

Léo Scienza(MID)

xG 0.2123%

James Ward-Prowse(MID)

xG 0.1721%

Finn Azaz(MID)

xG 0.1820%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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