La Liga

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF prediction

Played Sat 10 Oct, 20:00

Final score

1-0

Model called a home win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Real Madrid CF

69.0%

Draw

17.1%

Villarreal CF

14.0%

Projected Expected Goals2.19 vs 1.01

Projected Scoreline2 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 62% · Under 38%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 56% · No 44%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (14d each)

Recent Match Load1 vs 1 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Kylian Mbappé(FWD)

xG 0.7053%

Jude Bellingham(MID)

xG 0.2424%

Vinícius Júnior(MID)

xG 0.2121%

Georges Mikautadze(FWD)

xG 0.1617%

Arda Güler(MID)

xG 0.1314%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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