UEFA Champions League

RB Leipzig vs PSV prediction

Played Tue 13 Oct, 20:00

Final score

1-0

Model called a home win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

RB Leipzig

51.7%

Draw

21.8%

PSV

26.5%

Projected Expected Goals1.67 vs 1.91

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 69% · Under 31%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 70% · No 30%

Rest & Preparation3d vs 14d (+11d PSV)

Recent Match Load1 vs 0 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Christopher Nkunku(MID)

xG 0.2124%

Antonio Nusa(MID)

xG 0.2024%

Tidiam Gomis(FWD)

xG 0.2023%

Rômulo(FWD)

xG 0.1321%

Ezechiel Banzuzi(MID)

xG 0.1417%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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