Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans prediction

Played Sat 10 Oct, 19:45

Final score

3-1

Model called a home win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Paris Saint-Germain

86.5%

Draw

8.9%

Le Mans

4.6%

Projected Expected Goals2.52 vs 0.85

Projected Scoreline2 - 0

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 66% · Under 34%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 53% · No 47%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (14d each)

Recent Match Load1 vs 1 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Ferran Torres(FWD)

xG 0.3534%

Désiré Doué(FWD)

xG 0.2828%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia(FWD)

xG 0.2828%

Ousmane Dembélé(FWD)

xG 0.2328%

Vitinha(MID)

xG 0.2122%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

Play the next one with your mates

Start a free league with your mates. 10,000 credits each, no real money.

Get started — it's free