Premier League

Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction

Kicks off Sat 17 Oct, 17:30

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Newcastle

43.9%

Draw

25.5%

Aston Villa

30.5%

Projected Expected Goals1.76 vs 1.27

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 58% · Under 42%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 61% · No 39%

Rest & Preparation5d vs 3d (+2d Newcastle)

Recent Match Load1 vs 2 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Wissa(FWD)

xG 0.4033%

N.Jackson(FWD)

xG 0.2326%

Osula(FWD)

xG 0.0726%

Fernandez-Pardo(FWD)

xG 0.1726%

Barnes(MID)

xG 0.1822%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

Think you know better?

Start a free league with your mates. 10,000 credits each, no real money.

Get started — it's free