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Championship

Millwall vs Swansea City prediction

Played Tue 13 Oct, 19:45

Final score

0-1

Model called a home win — wrong

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Millwall

38.3%

Draw

27.6%

Swansea City

34.1%

Projected Expected Goals1.46 vs 1.09
Projected Scoreline1 - 1
Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 47% · Under 53%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 51% · No 49%
Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (3d each)
Recent Match Load1 vs 1 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Josh Coburn(FWD)
xG 0.1424%
Taïryk Arconte(FWD)
xG 0.2122%
Camiel Neghli(MID)
xG 0.1818%
Adam Idah(FWD)
xG 0.1617%
Moussa Yeo(FWD)
xG 0.1616%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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