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Championship

Middlesbrough vs Millwall prediction

Played Tue 15 Sept, 19:45

Final score

2-2

Model called a home win — wrong

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Middlesbrough

55.2%

Draw

24.0%

Millwall

20.8%

Projected Expected Goals1.74 vs 0.97
Projected Scoreline1 - 1
Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 51% · Under 49%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 51% · No 49%
Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (3d each)
Recent Match Load4 vs 4 matches (last 3 wks)

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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