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Premier League

Man Utd vs Spurs prediction

Played Sat 10 Oct, 17:30

Final score

1-1

Model called a home win — wrong

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Man Utd

55.6%

Draw

22.9%

Spurs

21.4%

Projected Expected Goals1.81 vs 1.13
Projected Scoreline1 - 1
Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 56% · Under 44%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 58% · No 42%
Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (14d each)
Recent Match Load1 vs 0 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Mbeumo(MID)
xG 0.4029%
B.Fernandes(MID)
xG 0.3929%
Williams-Barnett(MID)
xG 0.0125%
Cunha(MID)
xG 0.1724%
Rashford(MID)
xG 0.1122%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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