Premier League

Man City vs Sunderland prediction

Played Sun 20 Sept, 14:00

Final score

5-3

Model called a home win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Man City

65.9%

Draw

22.3%

Sunderland

11.8%

Projected Expected Goals1.83 vs 0.63

Projected Scoreline1 - 0

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 45% · Under 55%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 40% · No 60%

Rest & Preparation7d vs 8d (+1d Sunderland)

Recent Match Load3 vs 3 matches (last 3 wks)

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

Play the next one with your mates

Start a free league with your mates. 10,000 credits each, no real money.