La Liga

Málaga CF vs Villarreal CF prediction

Played Thu 17 Sept, 20:30

Final score

1-3

Model called an away win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Málaga CF

25.2%

Draw

27.2%

Villarreal CF

47.6%

Projected Expected Goals0.93 vs 1.39

Projected Scoreline0 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 41% · Under 59%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 45% · No 55%

Rest & Preparation4d vs 3d (+1d Málaga CF)

Recent Match Load3 vs 4 matches (last 3 wks)

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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