La Liga

Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona prediction

Played Fri 9 Oct, 20:00

Final score

1-1

Model called an away win — wrong

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Málaga CF

33.8%

Draw

29.6%

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

36.7%

Projected Expected Goals0.94 vs 1.37

Projected Scoreline0 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 41% · Under 59%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 46% · No 54%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (14d each)

Recent Match Load1 vs 1 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Roberto Fernández(FWD)

xG 0.3633%

Chupete(FWD)

xG 0.1819%

Cala(MID)

xG 0.1213%

Javi Hernandez(MID)

xG 0.1213%

Carlos Dotor(MID)

xG 0.0911%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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