Premier League

Leeds vs Newcastle prediction

Played Mon 14 Sept, 20:00

Final score

4-1

Model called an away win — wrong

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Leeds

23.9%

Draw

25.6%

Newcastle

50.6%

Projected Expected Goals1.08 vs 1.67

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 52% · Under 48%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 54% · No 46%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (9d each)

Recent Match Load2 vs 2 matches (last 3 wks)

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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