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Bundesliga

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln prediction

Played Sat 19 Sept, 14:30

Final score

2-1

Model called an away win — wrong

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Hamburger SV

15.5%

Draw

31.2%

1. FC Köln

53.3%

Projected Expected Goals0.63 vs 1.38
Projected Scoreline0 - 1
Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 33% · Under 67%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 37% · No 63%
Rest & Preparation6d vs 7d (+1d 1. FC Köln)
Recent Match Load3 vs 3 matches (last 3 wks)

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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