Serie A

Genoa CFC vs ACF Fiorentina prediction

Played Sat 10 Oct, 14:00

Final score

2-1

Model called an away win — wrong

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Genoa CFC

29.9%

Draw

28.9%

ACF Fiorentina

41.2%

Projected Expected Goals1.18 vs 1.33

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 46% · Under 54%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 51% · No 49%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (14d each)

Recent Match Load1 vs 1 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Franco Mastantuono(MID)

xG 0.2929%

Mateo Pellegrino(FWD)

xG 0.1819%

Alieu Njie(FWD)

xG 0.1417%

Tommaso Baldanzi(FWD)

xG 0.1416%

Lorenzo Colombo(FWD)

xG 0.1415%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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