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Ligue 1

FC Lorient vs Toulouse prediction

Played Sat 12 Sept, 19:45

Final score

2-2

Model called a home win — wrong

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

FC Lorient

42.6%

Draw

34.0%

Toulouse

23.4%

Projected Expected Goals1.09 vs 0.74
Projected Scoreline0 - 0
Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 28% · Under 72%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 36% · No 64%
Rest & Preparation7d vs 9d (+2d Toulouse)
Recent Match Load3 vs 3 matches (last 3 wks)

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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