Premier League

Everton vs Chelsea prediction

Kicks off Sat 17 Oct, 12:30

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Everton

30.3%

Draw

26.0%

Chelsea

43.7%

Projected Expected Goals1.33 vs 1.38

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 51% · Under 49%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 56% · No 44%

Rest & Preparation6d vs 7d (+1d Chelsea)

Recent Match Load1 vs 1 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

João Pedro(FWD)

xG 0.3432%

Palmer(MID)

xG 0.1629%

Barry(FWD)

xG 0.4228%

Rogers(MID)

xG 0.2326%

Welbeck(FWD)

xG 0.0624%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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