Championship

Derby County vs Stoke City prediction

Kicks off Sat 17 Oct, 15:00

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Derby County

38.3%

Draw

28.5%

Stoke City

33.2%

Projected Expected Goals1.43 vs 1.14

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 47% · Under 53%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 52% · No 48%

Rest & Preparation3d vs 4d (+1d Stoke City)

Recent Match Load2 vs 2 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Carlton Morris(FWD)

xG 0.1627%

Sammie Szmodics(MID)

xG 0.2226%

Bobby Clark(MID)

xG 0.1920%

Lars Jorgen Salvesen(FWD)

xG 0.1215%

Justin Devenny(FWD)

xG 0.0914%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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