Championship

Derby County vs Birmingham City prediction

Played Sat 12 Sept, 12:30

Final score

1-2

Model called an away win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Derby County

26.8%

Draw

29.1%

Birmingham City

44.1%

Projected Expected Goals0.93 vs 1.27

Projected Scoreline0 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 38% · Under 62%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 44% · No 56%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (3d each)

Recent Match Load6 vs 6 matches (last 3 wks)

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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