Premier League

Palace vs Nott'm Forest prediction

Played Sun 11 Oct, 14:00

Final score

3-1

Model called an away win — wrong

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Palace

35.2%

Draw

28.5%

Nott'm Forest

36.3%

Projected Expected Goals1.34 vs 1.26

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 48% · Under 52%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 54% · No 46%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (14d each)

Recent Match Load1 vs 0 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Strand Larsen(FWD)

xG 0.2128%

Delap(FWD)

xG 0.2227%

Gibbs-White(MID)

xG 0.2126%

Nketiah(FWD)

xG 0.1626%

Wood(FWD)

xG 0.0723%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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