UEFA Champions League

Club Atlético de Madrid vs Man Utd prediction

Played Tue 13 Oct, 20:00

Final score

2-0

Model called a home win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Club Atlético de Madrid

50.4%

Draw

24.0%

Man Utd

25.6%

Projected Expected Goals2.29 vs 1.14

Projected Scoreline2 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 67% · Under 33%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 62% · No 38%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (3d each)

Recent Match Load1 vs 1 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Lee Kang-In(FWD)

xG 0.3331%

Álex Baena(MID)

xG 0.3028%

Mbeumo(MID)

xG 0.2625%

Alejandro Grimaldo(DEF)

xG 0.2224%

B.Fernandes(MID)

xG 0.2322%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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