Premier League

Chelsea vs Bournemouth prediction

Played Sat 10 Oct, 15:00

Final score

5-1

Model called a home win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Chelsea

55.5%

Draw

22.9%

Bournemouth

21.5%

Projected Expected Goals1.65 vs 1.26

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 56% · Under 44%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 59% · No 41%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (14d each)

Recent Match Load0 vs 1 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

João Pedro(FWD)

xG 0.3735%

Palmer(MID)

xG 0.2128%

Welbeck(FWD)

xG 0.0826%

Rogers(MID)

xG 0.2626%

Evanilson(FWD)

xG 0.2622%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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