Championship

Cardiff City vs Watford prediction

Played Tue 13 Oct, 19:45

Final score

5-1

Model called a home win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Cardiff City

54.8%

Draw

22.7%

Watford

22.5%

Projected Expected Goals1.35 vs 1.25

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 48% · Under 52%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 53% · No 47%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (3d each)

Recent Match Load1 vs 1 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Yousef Salech(FWD)

xG 0.2629%

Jack Moylan(FWD)

xG 0.2022%

Luca Kjerrumgaard(FWD)

xG 0.1315%

Amin Nabizada(MID)

xG 0.1415%

Ollie Tanner(MID)

xG 0.1314%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

Play the next one with your mates

Start a free league with your mates. 10,000 credits each, no real money.

Get started — it's free