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Championship

Burnley vs Charlton Athletic prediction

Played Tue 13 Oct, 19:45

Final score

2-2

Model called a home win — wrong

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Burnley

58.9%

Draw

23.8%

Charlton Athletic

17.4%

Projected Expected Goals1.85 vs 0.62
Projected Scoreline1 - 0
Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 45% · Under 55%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 40% · No 60%
Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (3d each)
Recent Match Load1 vs 1 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Zian Flemming(FWD)
xG 0.1335%
Zeki Amdouni(FWD)
xG 0.3030%
Dastan Satpaev(FWD)
xG 0.1122%
Aaron Ramsey(MID)
xG 0.1317%
Largie Ramazani(MID)
xG 0.1015%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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