Premier League

Brighton vs Arsenal prediction

Played Sat 19 Sept, 15:00

Final score

3-0

Model called an away win — wrong

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Brighton

21.2%

Draw

23.0%

Arsenal

55.8%

Projected Expected Goals1.13 vs 1.95

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 60% · Under 40%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 59% · No 41%

Rest & Preparation6d vs 7d (+1d Arsenal)

Recent Match Load3 vs 4 matches (last 3 wks)

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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