Premier League

Brentford vs Chelsea prediction

Played Fri 18 Sept, 20:00

Final score

3-0

Model called an away win — wrong

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Brentford

38.0%

Draw

24.0%

Chelsea

38.1%

Projected Expected Goals1.66 vs 1.67

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 65% · Under 35%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 66% · No 34%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (6d each)

Recent Match Load3 vs 3 matches (last 3 wks)

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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