Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen prediction

Played Fri 9 Oct, 19:30

Final score

2-2

Model called a home win — wrong

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Borussia Dortmund

70.5%

Draw

17.4%

SV Werder Bremen

12.0%

Projected Expected Goals2.37 vs 0.82

Projected Scoreline2 - 0

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 62% · Under 38%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 51% · No 49%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (14d each)

Recent Match Load1 vs 1 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Serhou Guirassy(FWD)

xG 0.4445%

Maximilian Beier(MID)

xG 0.2832%

Konstantinos Karetsas(FWD)

xG 0.2129%

Ethan Nwaneri(FWD)

xG 0.1826%

Fábio Silva(FWD)

xG 0.1725%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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