Premier League

Aston Villa vs Nott'm Forest prediction

Played Sat 12 Sept, 15:00

Final score

1-2

Model called a home win — wrong

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Aston Villa

44.2%

Draw

26.8%

Nott'm Forest

29.0%

Projected Expected Goals1.46 vs 1.14

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 48% · Under 52%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 53% · No 47%

Rest & Preparation4d vs 7d (+3d Nott'm Forest)

Recent Match Load4 vs 4 matches (last 3 wks)

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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