Premier League

Aston Villa vs Man City prediction

Kicks off Sat 24 Oct, 12:30

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Aston Villa

20.6%

Draw

24.8%

Man City

54.6%

Projected Expected Goals1.06 vs 1.84

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 55% · Under 45%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 56% · No 44%

Rest & Preparation3d vs 4d (+1d Man City)

Recent Match Load4 vs 4 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Haaland(FWD)

xG 0.6552%

N.Jackson(FWD)

xG 0.1926%

Cherki(MID)

xG 0.1819%

Semenyo(MID)

xG 0.1317%

McGinn(MID)

xG 0.1515%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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