Premier League

Aston Villa vs Brentford prediction

Played Sat 10 Oct, 15:00

Final score

2-2

Model called a home win — wrong

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Aston Villa

36.6%

Draw

26.9%

Brentford

36.5%

Projected Expected Goals1.52 vs 1.33

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 54% · Under 46%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 58% · No 42%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (14d each)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Thiago(FWD)

xG 0.3131%

N.Jackson(FWD)

xG 0.2527%

Madjo(FWD)

xG 0.0224%

Abraham(FWD)

xG 0.0822%

Schade(MID)

xG 0.1921%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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