UEFA Champions League

AS Roma vs Real Madrid CF prediction

Kicks off Wed 14 Oct, 20:00

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

AS Roma

26.1%

Draw

23.5%

Real Madrid CF

50.4%

Projected Expected Goals1.67 vs 2.50

Projected Scoreline1 - 2

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 79% · Under 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 75% · No 25%

Rest & Preparation3d vs 4d (+1d Real Madrid CF)

Recent Match Load1 vs 1 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Kylian Mbappé(FWD)

xG 0.7957%

Donyell Malen(FWD)

xG 0.3433%

Jude Bellingham(MID)

xG 0.2827%

Vinícius Júnior(MID)

xG 0.2423%

Paulo Dybala(FWD)

xG 0.2223%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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