UEFA Champions League

Arsenal vs Lille OSC prediction

Played Tue 13 Oct, 20:00

Final score

3-0

Model called a home win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Arsenal

77.4%

Draw

15.2%

Lille OSC

7.4%

Projected Expected Goals2.75 vs 0.50

Projected Scoreline2 - 0

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 63% · Under 37%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 37% · No 63%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (3d each)

Recent Match Load1 vs 1 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Saka(MID)

xG 0.5749%

Havertz(FWD)

xG 0.5347%

Ødegaard(MID)

xG 0.3637%

Calafiori(DEF)

xG 0.1920%

Bruno G.(MID)

xG 0.1119%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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