Premier League

Arsenal vs Leeds prediction

Played Sat 10 Oct, 12:30

Final score

2-1

Model called a home win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

Arsenal

68.4%

Draw

19.8%

Leeds

11.8%

Projected Expected Goals1.97 vs 0.71

Projected Scoreline2 - 0

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 50% · Under 50%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 45% · No 55%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (14d each)

Recent Match Load1 vs 1 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Havertz(FWD)

xG 0.3532%

Saka(MID)

xG 0.4628%

Gyökeres(FWD)

xG 0.0627%

Calvert-Lewin(FWD)

xG 0.2018%

Ødegaard(MID)

xG 0.2418%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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