Serie A

ACF Fiorentina vs SSC Napoli prediction

Played Sun 20 Sept, 11:30

Final score

1-1

Model called an away win — wrong

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

ACF Fiorentina

25.9%

Draw

26.1%

SSC Napoli

48.1%

Projected Expected Goals1.12 vs 1.60

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 51% · Under 49%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 54% · No 46%

Rest & Preparation9d vs 7d (+2d ACF Fiorentina)

Recent Match Load2 vs 4 matches (last 3 wks)

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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