Serie A

AC Milan vs US Lecce prediction

Played Sun 20 Sept, 19:45

Final score

3-0

Model called a home win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

AC Milan

58.1%

Draw

22.4%

US Lecce

19.6%

Projected Expected Goals2.00 vs 1.09

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 60% · Under 40%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 58% · No 42%

Rest & Preparation8d vs 7d (+1d AC Milan)

Recent Match Load2 vs 3 matches (last 3 wks)

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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