Bundesliga

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen prediction

Played Sat 10 Oct, 14:30

Final score

3-4

Model called an away win — correct

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

1. FSV Mainz 05

32.0%

Draw

24.5%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

43.5%

Projected Expected Goals1.30 vs 1.74

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 59% · Under 41%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 61% · No 39%

Rest & PreparationEqual Rest (14d each)

Recent Match Load1 vs 1 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Patrik Schick(FWD)

xG 0.3736%

Phillip Tietz(FWD)

xG 0.3130%

Sheraldo Becker(FWD)

xG 0.2324%

Ibrahim Maza(MID)

xG 0.1819%

Christian Kofane(FWD)

xG 0.1719%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

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