Bundesliga

1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

Kicks off Sat 17 Oct, 14:30

Model Analysis

Dixon-Coles ML

1. FC Union Berlin

19.9%

Draw

22.3%

Borussia Dortmund

57.7%

Projected Expected Goals1.05 vs 1.91

Projected Scoreline1 - 1

Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 57% · Under 43%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes 56% · No 44%

Rest & Preparation7d vs 3d (+4d 1. FC Union Berlin)

Recent Match Load1 vs 2 matches (last 3 wks)

Top Projected Goalscorers

Serhou Guirassy(FWD)

xG 0.3336%

Ethan Nwaneri(FWD)

xG 0.1622%

Konstantinos Karetsas(FWD)

xG 0.1521%

Fábio Silva(FWD)

xG 0.1319%

Maximilian Beier(MID)

xG 0.1417%

Probabilities from our Dixon-Coles model, calculated before kickoff. Goalscorer chances assume the player features. See how the model has done on the receipts page.

Think you know better?

Start a free league with your mates. 10,000 credits each, no real money.

Get started — it's free